30.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 32.7 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 27.7
+1.8 opponent leak — they concede 1785.8/game vs a 1687.8 league average
+10.9 at this ground — averages 41.6 there (8 gm)
vs them: averages 43.0 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o32.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Lachlanvs all playersStatNQL concedePer game
32.7
16
Run Metresneutral
75
1785.8
Lachlan 32.7/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1687.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
17
Tackle Breaksneutral
94
36.5
Lachlan 0.4/game
NQL concedes 36.5/game · league avg 32.7
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
12.1
36
Tacklesunfavorable
13
333.0
Lachlan 12.1/game
NQL concedes 333.0/game · league avg 344.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Triesneutral
81
4.8
Lachlan 0.0/game
NQL concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
52
Try Assistsneutral
88
4.1
Lachlan 0.1/game
NQL concedes 4.1/game · league avg 3.5
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
34
Line Breaksneutral
75
6.0
Lachlan 0.1/game
NQL concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
47
Offloadsneutral
75
10.3
Lachlan 0.3/game
NQL concedes 10.3/game · league avg 9.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
6.3
12
Post Contact Metresneutral
100
618.4
Lachlan 6.3/game
NQL concedes 618.4/game · league avg 544.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Lachlan32.7
16
NQL1785.8
75
Lachlan 32.7/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1687.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Lachlan0.4
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Run Metres
1785.8per game · league avg 1687.8
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Cbus Super Stadium41.6(8)-17.0
Everywhere else58.6(66)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)70.3(6)+14.8
Dry games55.5(68)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs NQL · Run Metres
Avg diff
+5.5
Avg diff %
+14%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDJosh Patston36.966+79%
07-19DOLBradley Schneider35.367+90%
06-27PENJack Cogger33.114-58%
06-06DOLBradley Schneider35.30-100%
05-31CBROwen Pattie30.924-22%
05-24SOUPeter Mamouzelos33.410-70%
05-24SOUAdam Elliott32.355+70%
05-08PARCharlie Guymer36.281+124%
Similar = season average within ±4.9 of Lachlan's. Computed from this app's own records.