23.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 22.2 (11 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 24.4
−0.3 opponent leak — they concede 1663.5/game vs a 1687.8 league average
+0.9 at this ground — averages 24 there (11 gm)
vs them: averages 25.2 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Run Metres
1663.5per game · league avg 1687.8
#10 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Accor Stadium24.0(11)-28.6
Everywhere else52.6(65)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)18.7(6)-32.4
Dry games51.1(70)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SOU · Run Metres
Avg diff
+14.7
Avg diff %
+61%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08PARRyley Smith19.174+287%
06-11BRIBen Hunt25.332+27%
06-11BRIAublix Tawha21.00-100%
06-11BRIThomas Duffy23.318-23%
06-04MANJackson Shereb21.80-100%
05-24NQLRobert Derby25.0175+600%
05-09CROHohepa Puru23.40-100%
04-18SGIKade Reed22.80-100%
Similar = season average within ±3.3 of Sean's. Computed from this app's own records.