18.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 17.1 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 21.1
+1.7 opponent leak — they concede 594.5/game vs a 544.6 league average
−2.9 at this ground — averages 15.8 there (24 gm)
vs them: averages 21.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Post Contact Metres
594.5per game · league avg 544.6
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Suncorp Stadium15.8(24)+1.1
Everywhere else14.7(32)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)20.6(8)+6.4
Dry games14.2(48)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-1.7
Avg diff %
-9%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLFelise Kaufusi16.635+111%
08-01NEWBrodie Jones19.014-26%
08-01NEWFletcher Hunt14.80-100%
08-01NEWFrancis Manuleleua14.546+217%
07-25NQLJake Clifford15.13-80%
07-25NQLMatthew Lodge17.519+8%
07-25NQLSam McIntyre14.80-100%
07-16PENIzack Tago18.70-100%
Similar = season average within ±2.6 of Kurt's. Computed from this app's own records.