31.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 28.8 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 34.8
−1.7 opponent leak — they concede 514.9/game vs a 544.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 5.3 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 23: 66 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o28.5
Game conditions4 Pines Park · SydneyRound 24 · 2026-08-14 18:00☁ 13.1°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 6.7 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Maxvs all playersStatMAN concedePer game
83.7
51
Run Metresunfavorable
31
1613.3
Max 83.7/game
MAN concedes 1613.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.1
69
Tackle Breaksneutral
38
31.9
Max 2.1/game
MAN concedes 31.9/game · league avg 32.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
35.5
92
Tacklesneutral
56
347.8
Max 35.5/game
MAN concedes 347.8/game · league avg 344.7
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
47
Triesunfavorable
25
3.8
Max 0.1/game
MAN concedes 3.8/game · league avg 4.2
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
48
Try Assistsunfavorable
25
3.1
Max 0.1/game
MAN concedes 3.1/game · league avg 3.5
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
70
Line Breaksunfavorable
19
4.5
Max 0.3/game
MAN concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Offloadsneutral
100
11.6
Max 0.0/game
MAN concedes 11.6/game · league avg 9.7
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
28.8
54
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
31
514.9
Max 28.8/game
MAN concedes 514.9/game · league avg 544.6
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Max83.7
51
MAN1613.3
31
Max 83.7/game
MAN concedes 1613.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Max2.1
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MAN concede · Post Contact Metres
514.9per game · league avg 544.6
#12 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At 4 Pines Park0.0(1)-24.4
Everywhere else24.4(49)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)34.4(5)+11.6
Dry games22.8(45)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs MAN · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-2.9
Avg diff %
-11%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08MELJoe Chan28.825-13%
08-08MELOryn Keeley28.041+46%
08-08MELNick Meaney30.521-31%
08-08MELCameron Munster25.411-57%
07-26CROCameron McInnes27.826-7%
07-26CROTeig Wilton31.037+19%
07-26CROBilly Burns26.118-31%
07-19GLDAJ Brimson26.922-18%
Similar = season average within ±4.3 of Max's. Computed from this app's own records.
Nathan Brown28.5