28.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 26.1 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 30.8
+2.7 opponent leak — they concede 597.6/game vs a 545.7 league average
−3.7 at this ground — averages 24.3 there (19 gm)
vs them: averages 24.0 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Post Contact Metres
597.6per game · league avg 545.7
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Suncorp Stadium24.3(19)+1.9
Everywhere else22.4(30)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)34.4(5)+12.6
Dry games21.8(44)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-1.3
Avg diff %
-5%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01NEWMat Croker28.733+15%
08-01NEWFletcher Sharpe28.226-8%
07-25NQLGriffin Neame28.936+25%
07-25NQLJaxon Purdue28.718-37%
07-25NQLScott Drinkwater23.130+30%
07-25NQLZac Laybutt27.425-9%
07-16PENLiam Martin29.730+1%
07-16PENBilly Phillips22.89-61%
Similar = season average within ±3.9 of Max's. Computed from this app's own records.