4.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 5.1 (19 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 4.4
+0.3 opponent leak — they concede 196/game vs a 186.3 league average
+4.5 at this ground — averages 9.4 there (34 gm)
vs them: averages 9.0 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Runs
196.0per game · league avg 186.3
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At Suncorp Stadium9.4(34)-0.3
Everywhere else9.6(76)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)9.2(11)-0.4
Dry games9.6(99)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Runs
Avg diff
-0.5
Avg diff %
-2%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01NEWThomas Cant4.31-77%
08-01NEWBrodie Jones6.02-67%
08-01NEWFrancis Manuleleua3.811+189%
08-01NEWCody Hopwood4.914+187%
07-25NQLSam McIntyre4.90-100%
07-25NQLMatthew Lodge5.64-28%
07-16PENIzack Tago5.60-100%
07-04CROOregon Kaufusi6.15-18%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Felise's. Computed from this app's own records.