73.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 76.1 (19 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 69.7
−6.0 opponent leak — they concede 1550.3/game vs a 1687.8 league average
+10.8 at this ground — averages 84.3 there (13 gm)
vs them: averages 47.5 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 8: 164 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBY concede · Run Metres
1550.3per game · league avg 1687.8
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Accor Stadium84.3(13)+11.4
Everywhere else72.9(30)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)78.5(4)+2.3
Dry games76.2(39)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CBY · Run Metres
Avg diff
-11.1
Avg diff %
-13%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07SYDHugo Savala79.330-62%
08-07SYDCody Ramsey82.099+21%
08-07SYDSpencer Leniu85.464-25%
08-07SYDLindsay Collins73.426-65%
07-31MELJoe Chan80.548-40%
07-31MELOryn Keeley73.5131+78%
07-25WARKurt Capewell87.078-10%
07-25WARDemitric Vaimauga71.768-5%
Similar = season average within ±11.4 of Lachlan's. Computed from this app's own records.