13.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 14.1 (16 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 12.9
+1.1 opponent leak — they concede 590/game vs a 544.2 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 24.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PAR concede · Post Contact Metres
590.0per game · league avg 544.2
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Allianz Stadium22.7(3)+10.2
Everywhere else12.4(33)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)17.0(3)+4.1
Dry games12.9(33)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PAR · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+0.7
Avg diff %
+7%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08SOUAdam Elliott12.836+181%
08-02WSTJarome Luai12.113+8%
08-02WSTApisai Koroisau16.112-26%
07-11SYDTommy Talau14.10-100%
07-05MANJoey Walsh12.514+12%
06-25SOUJohn Radel12.10-100%
06-13CBRDaine Laurie13.922+58%
06-13CBRTom Starling12.515+20%
Similar = season average within ±2.1 of Jamie's. Computed from this app's own records.