60.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 56.0 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 66.7
+6.8 opponent leak — they concede 605.3/game vs a 544.2 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 58.2 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · 56.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Xaviervs all playersStatGLD concedePer game
124.5
76
Run Metresfavorable
94
1851.3
Xavier 124.5/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.8
60
Tackle Breaksneutral
88
34.8
Xavier 1.8/game
GLD concedes 34.8/game · league avg 32.8
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
32.5
89
Tacklesneutral
38
340.0
Xavier 32.5/game
GLD concedes 340.0/game · league avg 344.9
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
73
Triesfavorable
75
4.8
Xavier 0.3/game
GLD concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
75
4.0
Xavier 0.0/game
GLD concedes 4.0/game · league avg 3.5
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
48
Line Breaksneutral
63
5.2
Xavier 0.1/game
GLD concedes 5.2/game · league avg 5.1
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.5
58
Offloadsneutral
88
11.2
Xavier 0.5/game
GLD concedes 11.2/game · league avg 9.7
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
56.0
94
Post Contact Metresfavorable
94
605.3
Xavier 56.0/game
GLD concedes 605.3/game · league avg 544.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresfavorable
Xavier124.5
76
GLD1851.3
94
Xavier 124.5/game
GLD concedes 1851.3/game · league avg 1686.6
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Xavier1.8
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
GLD concede · Post Contact Metres
605.3per game · league avg 544.2
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Cbus Super Stadium61.3(3)+18.4
Everywhere else42.9(69)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)65.2(5)+23.1
Dry games42.1(67)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs GLD · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+11.8
Avg diff %
+21%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06NQLThomas Mikaele53.282+54%
08-06NQLBraidon Burns63.8100+57%
08-06NQLMurray Taulagi53.765+21%
08-06NQLTom Chester53.580+50%
08-06NQLJason Taumalolo61.060-2%
08-01WARJames Fisher-Harris54.437-32%
08-01WARMitchell Barnett56.060+7%
08-01WARErin Clark49.355+12%
Similar = season average within ±8.4 of Xavier's. Computed from this app's own records.