16.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 17.0 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 14.9
+1.0 opponent leak — they concede 365.4/game vs a 344.7 league average
+1.7 at this ground — averages 17.8 there (46 gm)
vs them: averages 16.4 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Tackles
365.4per game · league avg 344.7
#2 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Tackles
At Suncorp Stadium17.8(46)+2.1
Everywhere else15.7(41)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)14.0(5)-3.0
Dry games17.0(82)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WAR · Tackles
Avg diff
+0.3
Avg diff %
+2%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENBilly Phillips17.924+34%
08-01GLDCooper Bai18.514-24%
08-01GLDAJ Brimson15.914-12%
08-01GLDZane Harrison17.218+5%
08-01GLDJayden Campbell17.919+6%
08-01GLDJosh Patston18.539+111%
08-01GLDJojo Fifita17.217-1%
08-01GLDSam Verrills19.40-100%
Similar = season average within ±2.5 of Ezra's. Computed from this app's own records.