35.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 33.0 (19 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 38.7
+3.5 opponent leak — they concede 598.3/game vs a 544.2 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 31.0 over 6 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▲projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o33.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (63%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Thomasvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
86.5
53
Run Metresneutral
100
1914.7
Thomas 86.5/game
SGI concedes 1914.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
25
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.6
Thomas 0.6/game
SGI concedes 30.6/game · league avg 32.8
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
24.6
74
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Thomas 24.6/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.9
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
42
Triesneutral
94
5.1
Thomas 0.1/game
SGI concedes 5.1/game · league avg 4.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
69
3.9
Thomas 0.0/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
42
Line Breaksneutral
75
6.0
Thomas 0.1/game
SGI concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
24
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Thomas 0.1/game
SGI concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
33.0
61
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
598.3
Thomas 33.0/game
SGI concedes 598.3/game · league avg 544.2
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Thomas86.5
53
SGI1914.7
100
Thomas 86.5/game
SGI concedes 1914.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Thomas0.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Post Contact Metres
598.3per game · league avg 544.2
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium52.0(1)+21.4
Everywhere else30.6(76)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)36.3(3)+5.6
Dry games30.7(74)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SGI · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+0.4
Avg diff %
+1%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09CROWilliam Kennedy35.634-4%
08-09CROTeig Wilton31.234+9%
07-31DOLThomas Flegler29.117-42%
07-31DOLMax Plath28.823-20%
07-31DOLTom Gilbert35.542+18%
07-18WARKurt Capewell36.229-20%
07-18WARAdam Pompey33.728-17%
07-18WARTaine Tuaupiki31.958+82%
Similar = season average within ±5.0 of Thomas's. Computed from this app's own records.