9.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 9.4 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 9.9
+0.5 opponent leak — they concede 196.2/game vs a 185.9 league average
vs them: averages 10.2 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o9.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (62%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Thomasvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
84.4
51
Run Metresneutral
100
1925.5
Thomas 84.4/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
24
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.7
Thomas 0.6/game
SGI concedes 30.7/game · league avg 32.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
24.6
74
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Thomas 24.6/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
43
Triesneutral
100
5.2
Thomas 0.1/game
SGI concedes 5.2/game · league avg 4.2
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsneutral
69
3.9
Thomas 0.0/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
43
Line Breaksneutral
81
6.1
Thomas 0.1/game
SGI concedes 6.1/game · league avg 5.1
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
25
Offloadsunfavorable
19
8.6
Thomas 0.1/game
SGI concedes 8.6/game · league avg 9.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
31.9
60
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
601.3
Thomas 31.9/game
SGI concedes 601.3/game · league avg 544.6
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Thomas84.4
51
SGI1925.5
100
Thomas 84.4/game
SGI concedes 1925.5/game · league avg 1687.8
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Thomas0.6
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Runs
196.2per game · league avg 185.9
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium—(0)
Everywhere else9.4(76)
Only 0 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)11.7(3)+2.3
Dry games9.3(73)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SGI · Runs
Avg diff
-0.8
Avg diff %
-11%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-31DOLThomas Flegler8.36-28%
07-31DOLKurt Donoghoe8.610+16%
07-31DOLIsaiya Katoa9.86-38%
07-31DOLFrancis Molo8.17-14%
07-31DOLMax Plath8.77-20%
07-26GLDMoeaki Fotuaika10.716+50%
07-26GLDJayden Campbell9.48-15%
07-18WARJacob Laban8.35-40%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Thomas's. Computed from this app's own records.