8.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 8.7 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 8.3
+0.1 opponent leak — they concede 349.4/game vs a 344.7 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 7.3 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 1: 25 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Tackles
349.4per game · league avg 344.7
#7 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tackles
At Allianz Stadium5.3(3)-4.1
Everywhere else9.5(56)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)9.4(7)+0.2
Dry games9.2(52)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SYD · Tackles
Avg diff
+2.6
Avg diff %
+37%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-30NQLZac Laybutt8.412+43%
07-30NQLMatthew Lodge9.415+59%
07-24NEWElijah Salesa-Leaumoana8.313+56%
07-17MELJack Hetherington7.415+103%
07-17MELDavvy Moale9.14-56%
07-17MELStanley Huen7.319+159%
07-11PARBrian Kelly7.810+28%
07-11PARToni Mataele9.40-100%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Bronson's. Computed from this app's own records.