5.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 4.8 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 6.0
+0.0 opponent leak — they concede 186.4/game vs a 185.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 4.8 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o4.5
Game conditions4 Pines Park · SydneyRound 24 · 2026-08-14 18:00☁ 13.1°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 6.7 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Bradleyvs all playersStatMAN concedePer game
35.3
18
Run Metresunfavorable
31
1613.3
Bradley 35.3/game
MAN concedes 1613.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
33
Tackle Breaksneutral
38
31.9
Bradley 0.8/game
MAN concedes 31.9/game · league avg 32.7
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
15.3
47
Tacklesneutral
56
347.8
Bradley 15.3/game
MAN concedes 347.8/game · league avg 344.7
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
43
Triesunfavorable
25
3.8
Bradley 0.1/game
MAN concedes 3.8/game · league avg 4.2
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
75
Try Assistsunfavorable
25
3.1
Bradley 0.2/game
MAN concedes 3.1/game · league avg 3.5
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
27
Line Breaksunfavorable
19
4.5
Bradley 0.1/game
MAN concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
25
Offloadsneutral
100
11.6
Bradley 0.1/game
MAN concedes 11.6/game · league avg 9.7
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
7.6
14
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
31
514.9
Bradley 7.6/game
MAN concedes 514.9/game · league avg 544.6
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Bradley35.3
18
MAN1613.3
31
Bradley 35.3/game
MAN concedes 1613.3/game · league avg 1687.8
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Bradley0.8
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
MAN concede · Runs
186.4per game · league avg 185.9
#7 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Runs
At 4 Pines Park12.0(1)+7.2
Everywhere else4.8(74)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)3.7(6)-1.3
Dry games5.0(69)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs MAN · Runs
Avg diff
+0.8
Avg diff %
+9%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08MELManaia Waitere5.80-100%
08-08MELShawn Blore6.312+91%
08-08MELDavvy Moale3.42-42%
08-08MELAngus Hinchey4.38+88%
08-08MELTrent Toelau3.81-74%
07-26CROOregon Kaufusi6.112+96%
07-26CROBraydon Trindall6.14-34%
07-26CROBlayke Brailey6.19+47%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Bradley's. Computed from this app's own records.
Nathan Brown11.5