5.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 4.8 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 6.0
+0.2 opponent leak — they concede 194.8/game vs a 185.9 league average
−0.5 at this ground — averages 4.8 there (14 gm)
vs them: averages 3.4 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Runs
194.8per game · league avg 185.9
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At Suncorp Stadium4.8(14)-0.1
Everywhere else4.9(61)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)3.7(6)-1.3
Dry games5.0(69)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Runs
Avg diff
+1.4
Avg diff %
+33%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLFelise Kaufusi5.39+70%
08-08DOLJeremy Marshall-King4.54-11%
08-01NEWBrodie Jones6.02-67%
08-01NEWThomas Cant4.31-77%
08-01NEWCody Hopwood4.914+187%
08-01NEWFrancis Manuleleua3.811+189%
07-25NQLSoni Luke3.44+18%
07-25NQLReed Mahoney3.52-43%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Bradley's. Computed from this app's own records.