40.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 37.4 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 44.0
+3.6 opponent leak — they concede 1843.1/game vs a 1690.9 league average
+0.1 at this ground — averages 40.2 there (13 gm)
vs them: averages 36.3 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Run Metres
1843.1per game · league avg 1690.9
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Suncorp Stadium40.2(13)+7.9
Everywhere else32.3(61)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)22.5(6)-12.1
Dry games34.6(68)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Run Metres
Avg diff
+22.4
Avg diff %
+55%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01NEWCody Hopwood38.2139+264%
08-01NEWThomas Cant36.23-92%
08-01NEWFrancis Manuleleua38.2100+162%
07-25NQLSam McIntyre40.50-100%
07-04CROBraydon Trindall41.792+121%
06-11SOUJamie Humphreys42.473+72%
06-11SOUJohn Radel41.788+111%
06-11SOUDayne Jennings36.80-100%
Similar = season average within ±5.6 of Bradley's. Computed from this app's own records.