101.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 98.3 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 106.7
−8.7 opponent leak — they concede 1543/game vs a 1687.8 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 86.6 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 18: 182 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
← the price your bookie is offering
Splits · o98.5
Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 7.9°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 0.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Lindsayvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
98.3
61
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1543.0
Lindsay 98.3/game
WAR concedes 1543.0/game · league avg 1687.8
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.0
39
Tackle Breaksneutral
81
34.4
Lindsay 1.0/game
WAR concedes 34.4/game · league avg 32.7
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
30.0
84
Tacklesfavorable
94
365.4
Lindsay 30.0/game
WAR concedes 365.4/game · league avg 344.7
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
51
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Lindsay 0.1/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.2
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
39
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Lindsay 0.1/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
39
Line Breaksneutral
44
4.7
Lindsay 0.1/game
WAR concedes 4.7/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
68
Offloadsneutral
69
10.2
Lindsay 0.6/game
WAR concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.7
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
30.9
58
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
494.6
Lindsay 30.9/game
WAR concedes 494.6/game · league avg 544.6
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Lindsay98.3
61
WAR1543.0
13
Lindsay 98.3/game
WAR concedes 1543.0/game · league avg 1687.8
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Lindsay1.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Run Metres
1543.0per game · league avg 1687.8
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Go Media Stadium98.3(3)-0.1
Everywhere else98.5(100)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)100.7(6)+2.4
Dry games98.3(97)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WAR · Run Metres
Avg diff
-24.4
Avg diff %
-24%
Hit rate
0/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENNathan Cleary100.252-48%
08-07PENJaxen Edgar107.383-23%
08-07PENMoses Leota104.197-7%
08-07PENLiam Martin84.862-27%
08-01GLDMoeaki Fotuaika102.579-23%
08-01GLDJayden Campbell108.761-44%
08-01GLDAJ Brimson93.389-5%
07-25CBYStephen Crichton100.283-17%
Similar = season average within ±14.7 of Lindsay's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry119.5