44.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 44.9 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 43.8
−5.6 opponent leak — they concede 475.8/game vs a 544.6 league average
−2.5 at this ground — averages 41.9 there (18 gm)
vs them: averages 28.5 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Post Contact Metres
475.8per game · league avg 544.6
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At CommBank Stadium41.9(18)+8.3
Everywhere else33.6(33)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)27.3(3)-9.8
Dry games37.1(48)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs SYD · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-10.9
Avg diff %
-26%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYMax King45.823-50%
08-07CBYLeo Thompson45.152+15%
08-07CBYJethro Rinakama38.246+20%
08-07CBYEnari Tuala48.334-30%
08-07CBYStephen Crichton38.88-79%
08-07CBYMatt Burton42.845+5%
08-07CBYConnor Tracey40.331-23%
08-07CBYSitili Tupouniua39.412-70%
Similar = season average within ±6.7 of Casey's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry38.5