21.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 18.7 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 26.7
−2.0 opponent leak — they concede 494.6/game vs a 544.2 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 43.3 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▼projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o18.5
Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 7.9°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 0.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Izackvs all playersStatWAR concedePer game
55.3
32
Run Metresunfavorable
13
1543.0
Izack 55.3/game
WAR concedes 1543.0/game · league avg 1686.6
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.3
47
Tackle Breaksneutral
81
34.4
Izack 1.3/game
WAR concedes 34.4/game · league avg 32.8
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
8.7
28
Tacklesneutral
94
365.4
Izack 8.7/game
WAR concedes 365.4/game · league avg 344.9
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
51
Triesunfavorable
6
2.9
Izack 0.1/game
WAR concedes 2.9/game · league avg 4.2
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
64
Try Assistsunfavorable
6
2.5
Izack 0.1/game
WAR concedes 2.5/game · league avg 3.5
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
52
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.7
Izack 0.2/game
WAR concedes 4.7/game · league avg 5.1
#10 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
54
Offloadsneutral
69
10.2
Izack 0.4/game
WAR concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.7
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
18.7
36
Post Contact Metresunfavorable
13
494.6
Izack 18.7/game
WAR concedes 494.6/game · league avg 544.2
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Izack55.3
32
WAR1543.0
13
Izack 55.3/game
WAR concedes 1543.0/game · league avg 1686.6
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Izack1.3
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WAR concede · Post Contact Metres
494.6per game · league avg 544.2
#15 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Go Media Stadium58.0(3)+22.7
Everywhere else35.3(124)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)45.8(8)+10.6
Dry games35.1(119)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WAR · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-5.7
Avg diff %
-28%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07PENBlaize Talagi20.20-100%
08-07PENLuron Patea20.820-4%
08-07PENNathan Cleary19.87-65%
08-01GLDArama Hau20.39-56%
08-01GLDJosh Patston16.919+12%
07-25CBYJosh Curran18.727+44%
07-18SGIJosh Kerr17.916-11%
07-18SGITyrell Sloan20.812-42%
Similar = season average within ±2.8 of Izack's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry38.5