34.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 35.8 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 33.4
+3.1 opponent leak — they concede 1838.8/game vs a 1686.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 53.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Run Metres
1838.8per game · league avg 1686.6
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Suncorp Stadium34.3(3)+2.6
Everywhere else31.8(27)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)27.0(1)-5.2
Dry games32.2(29)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs BRI · Run Metres
Avg diff
+3.6
Avg diff %
+6%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLBradley Schneider35.30-100%
08-01NEWCody Hopwood38.6139+260%
08-01NEWBrodie Jones34.523-33%
08-01NEWThomas Cant35.33-91%
07-25NQLSam McIntyre40.50-100%
07-04CROBraydon Trindall40.992+125%
06-11SOUDayne Jennings36.80-100%
06-11SOUJamie Humphreys39.873+84%
Similar = season average within ±5.4 of Sam's. Computed from this app's own records.