116.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 108.9 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 126.6
+10.5 opponent leak — they concede 1838.8/game vs a 1686.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 0.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▲projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Run Metres
1838.8per game · league avg 1686.6
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Suncorp Stadium38.3(3)-54.0
Everywhere else92.4(28)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)85.0(2)-2.3
Dry games87.3(29)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs BRI · Run Metres
Avg diff
+27.0
Avg diff %
+24%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLConnelly Lemuelu108.2126+16%
08-08DOLTom Gilbert108.2101-7%
08-01NEWDane Gagai121.3146+20%
08-01NEWJermaine McEwen99.193-6%
08-01NEWFletcher Sharpe113.3168+48%
08-01NEWTrey Mooney105.1158+50%
07-25NQLHeilum Luki105.0102-3%
07-25NQLJeremiah Nanai106.1188+77%
Similar = season average within ±16.3 of Tanner's. Computed from this app's own records.