8.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 8.4 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 8.2
+0.4 opponent leak — they concede 194.8/game vs a 185.9 league average
−1.3 at this ground — averages 7 there (7 gm)
vs them: averages 7.5 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▲venue ▼projection ▼
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 6: 18 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Runs
194.8per game · league avg 185.9
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At Suncorp Stadium7.0(7)
Everywhere else7.0(45)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)6.7(3)-0.4
Dry games7.0(49)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs BRI · Runs
Avg diff
-1.6
Avg diff %
-21%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLKurt Donoghoe8.612+39%
08-08DOLMax Plath8.714+60%
08-08DOLMorgan Knowles7.84-49%
08-08DOLThomas Flegler8.35-40%
08-08DOLIsaiya Katoa9.86-38%
08-08DOLKodi Nikorima7.12-72%
08-08DOLFrancis Molo8.13-63%
08-01NEWMat Croker9.89-8%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Demitric's. Computed from this app's own records.