24.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 21.8 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 28.4
+2.2 opponent leak — they concede 594.5/game vs a 544.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 22: 81 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Post Contact Metres
594.5per game · league avg 544.6
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Suncorp Stadium21.5(2)+4.8
Everywhere else16.7(23)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)-18.5
Dry games18.5(23)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs BRI · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-4.3
Avg diff %
-21%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLMorgan Knowles24.411-55%
08-01NEWLachlan Crouch20.439+91%
08-01NEWBrodie Jones19.014-26%
07-25NQLScott Drinkwater23.130+30%
07-16PENBlaize Talagi20.226+29%
07-16PENBilly Phillips22.89-61%
07-16PENNathan Cleary19.85-75%
07-16PENIzack Tago18.70-100%
Similar = season average within ±3.3 of Eddie's. Computed from this app's own records.