61.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 55.2 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 71.7
+5.5 opponent leak — they concede 1838.8/game vs a 1687.8 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 22: 191 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Run Metres
1838.8per game · league avg 1687.8
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Suncorp Stadium57.5(2)+16.6
Everywhere else40.9(23)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)-45.9
Dry games45.9(23)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs BRI · Run Metres
Avg diff
-17.6
Avg diff %
-30%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLFelise Kaufusi48.888+81%
08-08DOLKodi Nikorima49.412-76%
08-01NEWFletcher Hunt59.30-100%
08-01NEWLachlan Crouch53.288+65%
07-25NQLMatthew Lodge50.744-13%
07-16PENIzack Tago55.30-100%
07-16PENBilly Phillips57.718-69%
07-04CROOregon Kaufusi51.435-32%
Similar = season average within ±8.3 of Eddie's. Computed from this app's own records.