61.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 55.2 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 71.7
−4.1 opponent leak — they concede 1576.6/game vs a 1687.8 league average
−31.8 at this ground — averages 30 there (10 gm)
vs them: averages 54.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 22: 191 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o55.5
Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 7.9°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 0.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Eddievs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
55.2
32
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1576.6
Eddie 55.2/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1687.8
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.9
36
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.4
Eddie 0.9/game
PEN concedes 31.4/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
17.6
54
Tacklesneutral
100
368.1
Eddie 17.6/game
PEN concedes 368.1/game · league avg 344.7
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
36
Triesunfavorable
0
2.6
Eddie 0.1/game
PEN concedes 2.6/game · league avg 4.2
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
52
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.4
Eddie 0.1/game
PEN concedes 2.4/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
34
Line Breaksunfavorable
6
4.1
Eddie 0.1/game
PEN concedes 4.1/game · league avg 5.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
47
Offloadsunfavorable
6
8.1
Eddie 0.3/game
PEN concedes 8.1/game · league avg 9.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
21.8
40
Post Contact Metresneutral
50
548.9
Eddie 21.8/game
PEN concedes 548.9/game · league avg 544.6
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Eddie55.2
32
PEN1576.6
25
Eddie 55.2/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1687.8
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Eddie0.9
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Run Metres
1576.6per game · league avg 1687.8
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Go Media Stadium30.0(10)-20.4
Everywhere else50.4(15)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)0.0(2)-45.9
Dry games45.9(23)
Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PEN · Run Metres
Avg diff
+7.7
Avg diff %
+14%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07WARWayde Egan49.752+5%
08-01CBRMorgan Smithies58.455-6%
08-01CBRDaine Laurie54.360+11%
08-01CBREthan Sanders47.055+17%
08-01CBRJosh Papalii50.435-31%
07-23PARTeancum Brown56.6120+112%
07-23PARMitchell Moses55.336-35%
07-16BRIAdam Reynolds47.968+42%
Similar = season average within ±8.3 of Eddie's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry119.5