64.6 baseline — 0.6 × season 66.4 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 61.9
+0.6 opponent leak — they concede 548.9/game vs a 544.2 league average
−13.5 at this ground — averages 51.1 there (33 gm)
vs them: averages 34.4 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · 66.5
Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 7.9°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 0.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jacksonvs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
160.8
93
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1576.6
Jackson 160.8/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1686.6
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.0
65
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.4
Jackson 2.0/game
PEN concedes 31.4/game · league avg 32.8
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
41.1
99
Tacklesfavorable
100
368.1
Jackson 41.1/game
PEN concedes 368.1/game · league avg 344.9
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
71
Triesunfavorable
0
2.6
Jackson 0.3/game
PEN concedes 2.6/game · league avg 4.2
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.4
Jackson 0.0/game
PEN concedes 2.4/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
77
Line Breaksunfavorable
6
4.1
Jackson 0.4/game
PEN concedes 4.1/game · league avg 5.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
76
Offloadsunfavorable
6
8.1
Jackson 0.7/game
PEN concedes 8.1/game · league avg 9.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
66.4
99
Post Contact Metresneutral
56
548.9
Jackson 66.4/game
PEN concedes 548.9/game · league avg 544.2
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Jackson160.8
93
PEN1576.6
25
Jackson 160.8/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1686.6
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Jackson2.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Post Contact Metres
548.9per game · league avg 544.2
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Go Media Stadium51.1(33)+13.8
Everywhere else37.2(66)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)36.6(8)-5.7
Dry games42.3(91)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs PEN · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+10.5
Avg diff %
+16%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-23PARBrian Kelly60.3102+69%
07-16BRIPayne Haas70.291+30%
07-03SOUKeaon Koloamatangi60.887+43%
07-03SOUMatthew Dufty59.30-100%
06-27NQLJason Taumalolo61.089+46%
06-27NQLBraidon Burns63.879+24%
05-17SGIChristian Tuipulotu63.792+45%
05-03MANTaniela Paseka59.142-29%
Similar = season average within ±10.0 of Jackson's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry38.5