17.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 17.4 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 17.0
−0.5 opponent leak — they concede 181.3/game vs a 186.3 league average
−3.6 at this ground — averages 13.7 there (33 gm)
vs them: averages 9.7 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 16: 5 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o17.5
Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 7.9°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 0.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jacksonvs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
160.8
92
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1576.6
Jackson 160.8/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1690.9
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.0
67
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
31
31.4
Jackson 2.0/game
PEN concedes 31.4/game · league avg 32.7
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
41.1
99
Tacklesfavorable
100
368.1
Jackson 41.1/game
PEN concedes 368.1/game · league avg 344.9
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
72
Triesunfavorable
0
2.6
Jackson 0.3/game
PEN concedes 2.6/game · league avg 4.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.4
Jackson 0.0/game
PEN concedes 2.4/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
78
Line Breaksunfavorable
6
4.1
Jackson 0.4/game
PEN concedes 4.1/game · league avg 5.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
75
Offloadsunfavorable
0
8.1
Jackson 0.7/game
PEN concedes 8.1/game · league avg 9.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
66.4
99
Post Contact Metresneutral
50
548.9
Jackson 66.4/game
PEN concedes 548.9/game · league avg 545.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Jackson160.8
92
PEN1576.6
25
Jackson 160.8/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1690.9
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Jackson2.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Runs
181.3per game · league avg 186.3
#12 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Go Media Stadium13.7(33)+3.2
Everywhere else10.5(66)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)11.5(8)-0.1
Dry games11.6(91)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs PEN · Runs
Avg diff
-2.8
Avg diff %
-20%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07WARMitchell Barnett16.116-1%
08-07WARDallin Watene-Zelezniak15.715-5%
08-07WARTaine Tuaupiki15.70-100%
08-07WARJames Fisher-Harris16.518+9%
08-01CBRJoseph Tapine14.914-6%
08-01CBRSavelio Tamale14.90-100%
07-23PARIsaiah Iongi19.723+17%
07-23PARBrian Kelly18.123+27%
Similar = season average within ±2.6 of Jackson's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry12.5