157.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 160.8 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 153.1
+14.1 opponent leak — they concede 1838.8/game vs a 1687.8 league average
−82.5 at this ground — averages 75.3 there (8 gm)
vs them: averages 88.6 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Run Metres
1838.8per game · league avg 1687.8
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Suncorp Stadium75.3(8)-31.6
Everywhere else106.8(91)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)87.4(8)-18.4
Dry games105.8(91)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Run Metres
Avg diff
-10.5
Avg diff %
-6%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLJack Bostock161.8168+4%
08-08DOLJamayne Isaako161.2101-37%
08-08DOLHerbie Farnworth161.8156-4%
08-08DOLKulikefu Finefeuiaki153.0163+7%
08-01NEWKalyn Ponga171.5110-36%
08-01NEWBradman Best139.2168+21%
08-01NEWDominic Young163.6171+5%
07-25NQLScott Drinkwater149.9141-6%
Similar = season average within ±24.1 of Jackson's. Computed from this app's own records.