51.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 49.7 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 54.3
−3.4 opponent leak — they concede 1576.6/game vs a 1687.8 league average
+1.0 at this ground — averages 52.5 there (38 gm)
vs them: averages 37.0 over 9 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 16: 126 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o49.5
Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 7.9°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 0.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Waydevs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
49.7
28
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1576.6
Wayde 49.7/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1687.8
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
17
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.4
Wayde 0.4/game
PEN concedes 31.4/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
31.5
86
Tacklesfavorable
100
368.1
Wayde 31.5/game
PEN concedes 368.1/game · league avg 344.7
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
38
Triesunfavorable
0
2.6
Wayde 0.1/game
PEN concedes 2.6/game · league avg 4.2
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
84
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.4
Wayde 0.4/game
PEN concedes 2.4/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
59
Line Breaksunfavorable
6
4.1
Wayde 0.3/game
PEN concedes 4.1/game · league avg 5.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.6
68
Offloadsunfavorable
6
8.1
Wayde 0.6/game
PEN concedes 8.1/game · league avg 9.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
12.6
24
Post Contact Metresneutral
50
548.9
Wayde 12.6/game
PEN concedes 548.9/game · league avg 544.6
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Wayde49.7
28
PEN1576.6
25
Wayde 49.7/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1687.8
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Wayde0.4
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Run Metres
1576.6per game · league avg 1687.8
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Go Media Stadium52.5(38)+4.5
Everywhere else48.0(85)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)47.9(7)-1.7
Dry games49.5(116)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs PEN · Run Metres
Avg diff
+7.6
Avg diff %
+12%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07WAREddie Ieremia-Toeava55.2108+96%
08-01CBREthan Sanders47.055+17%
08-01CBRDaine Laurie54.360+11%
08-01CBRTom Starling46.726-44%
08-01CBRJosh Papalii50.435-31%
07-23PARJack De Belin46.132-31%
07-23PARMitchell Moses55.336-35%
07-23PARTeancum Brown56.6120+112%
Similar = season average within ±7.5 of Wayde's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry119.5