17.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 17.8 (10 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 17.8
−0.6 opponent leak — they concede 333.3/game vs a 344.7 league average
−3.2 at this ground — averages 14.6 there (5 gm)
vs them: averages 13.1 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 11: 1 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o17.5
Game conditionsMcDonald Jones Stadium · NewcastleRound 24 · 2026-08-16 14:00☁ 15.7°C☂ 0.9mm (77%)🌬 7.7 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Tanahvs all playersStatNEW concedePer game
64.0
37
Run Metresneutral
56
1722.7
Tanah 64.0/game
NEW concedes 1722.7/game · league avg 1687.8
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.3
47
Tackle Breaksneutral
69
33.6
Tanah 1.3/game
NEW concedes 33.6/game · league avg 32.7
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
17.8
55
Tacklesunfavorable
19
333.3
Tanah 17.8/game
NEW concedes 333.3/game · league avg 344.7
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
73
Triesneutral
38
4.0
Tanah 0.3/game
NEW concedes 4.0/game · league avg 4.2
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.0
98
Try Assistsneutral
50
3.5
Tanah 1.0/game
NEW concedes 3.5/game · league avg 3.5
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
67
Line Breaksneutral
38
4.5
Tanah 0.3/game
NEW concedes 4.5/game · league avg 5.1
#11 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
34
Offloadsneutral
63
10.2
Tanah 0.2/game
NEW concedes 10.2/game · league avg 9.7
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
10.8
21
Post Contact Metresneutral
63
559.8
Tanah 10.8/game
NEW concedes 559.8/game · league avg 544.6
#7 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Tanah64.0
37
NEW1722.7
56
Tanah 64.0/game
NEW concedes 1722.7/game · league avg 1687.8
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Tanah1.3
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NEW concede · Tackles
333.3per game · league avg 344.7
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackles
At McDonald Jones Stadium14.6(5)-1.2
Everywhere else15.8(83)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)18.7(7)+3.2
Dry games15.5(81)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs NEW · Tackles
Avg diff
-1.6
Avg diff %
-11%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-01BRIEzra Mam17.013-24%
08-01BRIKotoni Staggs15.517+10%
08-01BRIAdam Reynolds15.11-93%
07-24SYDHugo Savala15.718+15%
07-24SYDSam Walker15.315-2%
07-24SYDRobert Toia19.721+7%
07-17CROKL Iro17.217-1%
07-05DOLKodi Nikorima20.321+3%
Similar = season average within ±2.7 of Tanah's. Computed from this app's own records.