64.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 64.0 (10 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 64.0
+3.7 opponent leak — they concede 1785.8/game vs a 1687.8 league average
−24.6 at this ground — averages 39.4 there (28 gm)
vs them: averages 51.6 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o64.5
Game conditionsCbus Super Stadium · Gold CoastRound 23 · 2026-08-06 19:50☁ 15.3°C☂ 0mm (2%)🌬 8.3 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Tanahvs all playersStatNQL concedePer game
64.0
37
Run Metresneutral
75
1785.8
Tanah 64.0/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1687.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.3
47
Tackle Breaksneutral
94
36.5
Tanah 1.3/game
NQL concedes 36.5/game · league avg 32.7
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
17.8
55
Tacklesunfavorable
13
333.0
Tanah 17.8/game
NQL concedes 333.0/game · league avg 344.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
73
Triesfavorable
81
4.8
Tanah 0.3/game
NQL concedes 4.8/game · league avg 4.2
#4 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.0
98
Try Assistsfavorable
88
4.1
Tanah 1.0/game
NQL concedes 4.1/game · league avg 3.5
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.3
67
Line Breaksneutral
75
6.0
Tanah 0.3/game
NQL concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
34
Offloadsneutral
75
10.3
Tanah 0.2/game
NQL concedes 10.3/game · league avg 9.7
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
10.8
21
Post Contact Metresneutral
100
618.4
Tanah 10.8/game
NQL concedes 618.4/game · league avg 544.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Tanah64.0
37
NQL1785.8
75
Tanah 64.0/game
NQL concedes 1785.8/game · league avg 1687.8
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksneutral
Tanah1.3
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
NQL concede · Run Metres
1785.8per game · league avg 1687.8
#5 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Cbus Super Stadium39.4(28)-3.1
Everywhere else42.5(60)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)46.9(7)+5.8
Dry games41.1(81)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs NQL · Run Metres
Avg diff
-7.7
Avg diff %
-11%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-06GLDChris Randall60.880+32%
08-06GLDArama Hau57.90-100%
08-06GLDKurtis Morrin71.984+17%
08-06GLDCooper Bai66.222-67%
08-06GLDKlese Haas66.388+33%
07-30SYDReece Robson55.497+75%
07-30SYDConnor Watson64.778+21%
07-25BRIGrant Anderson67.50-100%
Similar = season average within ±9.6 of Tanah's. Computed from this app's own records.