52.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 52.5 (10 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 52.5
+4.9 opponent leak — they concede 594.5/game vs a 544.2 league average
−1.3 at this ground — averages 51.2 there (5 gm)
vs them: averages 46.0 over 2 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▲venue ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 12: 5 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Post Contact Metres
594.5per game · league avg 544.2
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Suncorp Stadium51.2(5)-11.3
Everywhere else62.5(60)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)57.8(5)-4.2
Dry games62.0(60)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+3.5
Avg diff %
+7%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLSelwyn Cobbo49.140-19%
08-08DOLJamayne Isaako49.033-33%
08-08DOLJack Bostock52.869+31%
08-08DOLHerbie Farnworth56.951-10%
08-01NEWBradman Best47.377+63%
07-25NQLTom Chester53.540-25%
07-25NQLMurray Taulagi53.779+47%
07-25NQLThomas Mikaele53.254+1%
Similar = season average within ±7.9 of Roger's. Computed from this app's own records.