33.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 33.7 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 34.3
+3.1 opponent leak — they concede 594.5/game vs a 544.6 league average
+4.6 at this ground — averages 38.5 there (13 gm)
vs them: averages 39.5 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Post Contact Metres
594.5per game · league avg 544.6
#4 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Suncorp Stadium38.5(13)+5.3
Everywhere else33.2(109)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)30.0(9)-4.1
Dry games34.1(113)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+8.8
Avg diff %
+27%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLTom Gilbert35.526-27%
08-08DOLThomas Flegler29.114-52%
08-08DOLMax Plath28.866+129%
08-01NEWJermaine McEwen35.244+25%
08-01NEWDane Gagai34.350+46%
08-01NEWKalyn Ponga32.920-39%
08-01NEWTrey Mooney35.778+118%
08-01NEWMat Croker28.733+15%
Similar = season average within ±5.0 of Adam's. Computed from this app's own records.