97.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 95.3 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 99.8
+8.7 opponent leak — they concede 1838.8/game vs a 1687.8 league average
+27.6 at this ground — averages 124.7 there (13 gm)
vs them: averages 110.9 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
BRI concede · Run Metres
1838.8per game · league avg 1687.8
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Suncorp Stadium124.7(13)+34.0
Everywhere else90.7(109)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)83.2(9)-12.0
Dry games95.2(113)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs BRI · Run Metres
Avg diff
+18.0
Avg diff %
+20%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08DOLConnelly Lemuelu108.2126+16%
08-08DOLMax Plath83.7184+120%
08-08DOLTom Gilbert108.2101-7%
08-01NEWTyson Frizell89.986-4%
08-01NEWJermaine McEwen99.493-6%
08-01NEWMat Croker85.278-8%
08-01NEWTrey Mooney104.5158+51%
07-25NQLHeilum Luki105.0102-3%
Similar = season average within ±14.3 of Adam's. Computed from this app's own records.