38.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 36.9 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 39.6
+0.3 opponent leak — they concede 548.9/game vs a 544.2 league average
+16.0 at this ground — averages 54 there (31 gm)
vs them: averages 38.6 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ·opponent ▲venue ▲projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 22: 86 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o36.5
Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 7.9°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 0.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Charnzevs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
128.8
79
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1576.6
Charnze 128.8/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1686.6
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.7
82
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.4
Charnze 2.7/game
PEN concedes 31.4/game · league avg 32.8
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
9.5
31
Tacklesneutral
100
368.1
Charnze 9.5/game
PEN concedes 368.1/game · league avg 344.9
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
95
Triesunfavorable
0
2.6
Charnze 0.7/game
PEN concedes 2.6/game · league avg 4.2
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
65
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.4
Charnze 0.2/game
PEN concedes 2.4/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.9
96
Line Breaksunfavorable
6
4.1
Charnze 0.9/game
PEN concedes 4.1/game · league avg 5.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
80
Offloadsunfavorable
6
8.1
Charnze 0.8/game
PEN concedes 8.1/game · league avg 9.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
36.9
68
Post Contact Metresneutral
56
548.9
Charnze 36.9/game
PEN concedes 548.9/game · league avg 544.2
#8 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Charnze128.8
79
PEN1576.6
25
Charnze 128.8/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1686.6
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Charnze2.7
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Post Contact Metres
548.9per game · league avg 544.2
#8 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Go Media Stadium54.0(31)+8.1
Everywhere else45.9(65)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)19.3(6)-31.1
Dry games50.5(90)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs PEN · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-3.8
Avg diff %
-11%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07WARTanner Stowers-Smith40.539-4%
08-07WARDallin Watene-Zelezniak42.149+17%
08-07WARLeka Halasima31.673+131%
08-07WARKurt Capewell36.241+13%
08-07WARTaine Tuaupiki31.90-100%
08-07WARAdam Pompey33.70-100%
08-01CBRKaeo Weekes39.329-26%
08-01CBRXavier Savage32.426-20%
Similar = season average within ±5.5 of Charnze's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry38.5