14.1 baseline — 0.6 × season 13.8 (13 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 14.5
−0.4 opponent leak — they concede 181.3/game vs a 186.3 league average
+5.5 at this ground — averages 19.6 there (31 gm)
vs them: averages 17.1 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 20: 0 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o13.5
Game conditionsGo Media Stadium · AucklandRound 23 · 2026-08-07 20:00☁ 7.9°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 0.6 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Charnzevs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
128.8
79
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1576.6
Charnze 128.8/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1690.9
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
2.7
81
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
31
31.4
Charnze 2.7/game
PEN concedes 31.4/game · league avg 32.7
#12 of 17 clubs most conceded
9.5
30
Tacklesneutral
100
368.1
Charnze 9.5/game
PEN concedes 368.1/game · league avg 344.9
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
95
Triesunfavorable
0
2.6
Charnze 0.7/game
PEN concedes 2.6/game · league avg 4.1
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
64
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.4
Charnze 0.2/game
PEN concedes 2.4/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.9
96
Line Breaksunfavorable
6
4.1
Charnze 0.9/game
PEN concedes 4.1/game · league avg 5.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.8
80
Offloadsunfavorable
0
8.1
Charnze 0.8/game
PEN concedes 8.1/game · league avg 9.8
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
36.9
69
Post Contact Metresneutral
50
548.9
Charnze 36.9/game
PEN concedes 548.9/game · league avg 545.7
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Charnze128.8
79
PEN1576.6
25
Charnze 128.8/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1690.9
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Charnze2.7
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Runs
181.3per game · league avg 186.3
#12 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Go Media Stadium19.6(31)+2.6
Everywhere else17.0(65)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)10.2(6)-8.2
Dry games18.4(90)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs PEN · Runs
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
+1%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07WARErin Clark14.614-4%
08-07WARAlofiana Khan-Pereira11.811-7%
08-07WARTaine Tuaupiki15.70-100%
08-07WARDallin Watene-Zelezniak15.715-5%
08-01CBRXavier Savage11.915+26%
08-01CBRKaeo Weekes14.318+26%
08-01CBRMatthew Timoko14.519+31%
08-01CBRCorey Horsburgh13.519+41%
Similar = season average within ±2.1 of Charnze's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry12.5