181.3 baseline — 0.6 × season 179.2 (16 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 184.5
−2.6 opponent leak — they concede 1663.5/game vs a 1687.8 league average
−5.9 at this ground — averages 175.4 there (39 gm)
vs them: averages 169.7 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Run Metres
1663.5per game · league avg 1687.8
#10 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Accor Stadium175.4(39)+8.8
Everywhere else166.6(55)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)145.8(8)-26.8
Dry games172.5(86)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SOU · Run Metres
Avg diff
-3.8
Avg diff %
-2%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08PARBrian Kelly166.8186+12%
08-02CROSione Katoa161.8120-26%
07-24MELSualauvi Faalogo197.3288+46%
07-18CBRKaeo Weekes159.8135-15%
07-18CBRSimi Sasagi173.7210+21%
07-12NEWGreg Marzhew189.377-59%
07-12NEWKalyn Ponga171.5187+9%
07-12NEWDominic Young163.6150-8%
Similar = season average within ±26.9 of Jacob's. Computed from this app's own records.