58.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 64.2 (17 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 49.3
−5.8 opponent leak — they concede 1519.7/game vs a 1686.6 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (3 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 64.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Run Metres
1519.7per game · league avg 1686.6
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Allianz Stadium81.7(3)-1.5
Everywhere else83.2(48)
Only 3 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)80.8(6)-2.6
Dry games83.4(45)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SYD · Run Metres
Avg diff
+12.1
Avg diff %
+18%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-30NQLJake Clifford68.858-16%
07-24NEWSandon Smith70.855-22%
07-24NEWFletcher Hunt63.767+5%
07-17MELAlec MacDonald60.380+33%
07-17MELTyran Wishart60.968+12%
07-17MELOryn Keeley73.5149+103%
07-17MELHarry Grant55.351-8%
07-11PARJoash Papalii66.388+33%
Similar = season average within ±9.6 of Harry's. Computed from this app's own records.