30.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 29.2 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 32.1
+0.4 opponent leak — they concede 349.4/game vs a 344.9 league average
−10.7 at this ground — averages 19.7 there (12 gm)
vs them: averages 4.0 over 1 game — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▲venue ▼projection ▼
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 23: 4 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Tackles
349.4per game · league avg 344.9
#7 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Tackles
At Allianz Stadium19.7(12)-6.3
Everywhere else25.9(85)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)22.8(6)-2.5
Dry games25.3(91)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SYD · Tackles
Avg diff
+7.5
Avg diff %
+26%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYHarry Hayes28.526-9%
08-07CBYJaeman Salmon32.433+2%
07-30NQLJeremiah Nanai27.535+27%
07-24NEWMat Croker31.546+46%
07-24NEWTrey Mooney31.745+42%
07-17MELJosh King31.836+13%
07-17MELStefano Utoikamanu28.928-3%
07-17MELCooper Clarke26.049+88%
Similar = season average within ±4.4 of Sitili's. Computed from this app's own records.