102.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 106.1 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 98.0
−1.5 opponent leak — they concede 1663.5/game vs a 1687.8 league average
+0.0 at this ground — averages 102.9 there (17 gm)
vs them: averages 64.1 over 7 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SOU concede · Run Metres
1663.5per game · league avg 1687.8
#10 of 17 most conceded
Middle of the road matchup.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Accor Stadium102.9(17)+30.9
Everywhere else72.0(80)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)51.5(6)-27.6
Dry games79.1(91)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SOU · Run Metres
Avg diff
+10.6
Avg diff %
+13%
Hit rate
7/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-08PARJunior Paulo106.8118+10%
08-08PARKitione Kautoga104.7137+31%
08-08PARJack Williams114.8150+31%
08-02CROSamuel Stonestreet120.90-100%
08-02CROTeig Wilton92.1101+10%
08-02CRONicho Hynes98.1177+80%
08-02CROJesse Colquhoun107.8135+25%
07-24MELCooper Clarke91.1103+13%
Similar = season average within ±15.9 of Sitili's. Computed from this app's own records.