13.7 baseline — 0.6 × season 13.9 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 13.5
−0.4 opponent leak — they concede 180.6/game vs a 186.3 league average
+2.5 at this ground — averages 16.3 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 14.7 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 4: 28 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Runs
180.6per game · league avg 186.3
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Allianz Stadium16.3(4)+0.8
Everywhere else15.4(61)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)14.6(7)-1.0
Dry games15.6(58)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SYD · Runs
Avg diff
-1.1
Avg diff %
-7%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYEnari Tuala15.912-25%
08-07CBYJethro Rinakama12.817+33%
08-07CBYLeo Thompson13.513-3%
08-07CBYMatt Burton13.121+61%
08-07CBYMax King14.012-14%
07-30NQLJaxon Purdue13.56-55%
07-30NQLThomas Mikaele12.510-20%
07-30NQLJason Taumalolo13.79-34%
Similar = season average within ±2.1 of Lachlan's. Computed from this app's own records.