115.5 baseline — 0.6 × season 117.5 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 112.4
−11.4 opponent leak — they concede 1519.7/game vs a 1686.6 league average
−16.0 at this ground — averages 99.5 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 83.3 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 4: 231 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Run Metres
1519.7per game · league avg 1686.6
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Allianz Stadium99.5(4)-18.7
Everywhere else118.2(61)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)104.1(7)-14.5
Dry games118.6(58)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SYD · Run Metres
Avg diff
-37.5
Avg diff %
-36%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYSitili Tupouniua106.127-75%
08-07CBYBronson Xerri100.10-100%
08-07CBYMax King125.292-27%
08-07CBYLeo Thompson116.6119+2%
08-07CBYStephen Crichton100.224-76%
08-07CBYJethro Rinakama121.9125+3%
08-07CBYMatt Burton126.1145+15%
07-30NQLHeilum Luki105.069-34%
Similar = season average within ±17.6 of Lachlan's. Computed from this app's own records.