182.9 baseline — 0.6 × season 184.3 (18 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 180.7
−18.1 opponent leak — they concede 1519.7/game vs a 1686.6 league average
−8.4 at this ground — averages 174.5 there (4 gm)
vs them: averages 147.6 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SYD concede · Run Metres
1519.7per game · league avg 1686.6
#16 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At Allianz Stadium174.5(4)+19.4
Everywhere else155.1(117)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)97.0(10)-64.0
Dry games161.0(111)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SYD · Run Metres
Avg diff
-31.5
Avg diff %
-17%
Hit rate
1/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07CBYJacob Kiraz179.2148-17%
07-30NQLBraidon Burns185.269-63%
07-30NQLTom Chester174.3155-11%
07-24NEWDominic Young165.5146-12%
07-24NEWGreg Marzhew187.3186-1%
07-17MELSualauvi Faalogo197.3167-15%
07-11PARBrian Kelly166.888-47%
06-26BRIPayne Haas160.8205+28%
Similar = season average within ±27.7 of Connor's. Computed from this app's own records.