30.2 baseline — 0.6 × season 31.4 (7 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 28.4
−2.0 opponent leak — they concede 1576.6/game vs a 1687.8 league average
+6.0 at this ground — averages 36.2 there (9 gm)
vs them: averages 42.5 over 4 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o31.5
Game conditionsAAMI Park · MelbourneRound 25 · 2026-08-20 19:50☁ 14.9°C☂ 0mm (32%)🌬 13.2 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Jonahvs all playersStatPEN concedePer game
31.4
15
Run Metresunfavorable
25
1576.6
Jonah 31.4/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1687.8
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
6
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
25
31.4
Jonah 0.1/game
PEN concedes 31.4/game · league avg 32.7
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
14.7
45
Tacklesneutral
100
368.1
Jonah 14.7/game
PEN concedes 368.1/game · league avg 344.7
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.4
85
Triesunfavorable
0
2.6
Jonah 0.4/game
PEN concedes 2.6/game · league avg 4.2
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
94
Try Assistsunfavorable
0
2.4
Jonah 0.7/game
PEN concedes 2.4/game · league avg 3.5
#17 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
47
Line Breaksunfavorable
6
4.1
Jonah 0.1/game
PEN concedes 4.1/game · league avg 5.1
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.7
75
Offloadsunfavorable
6
8.1
Jonah 0.7/game
PEN concedes 8.1/game · league avg 9.7
#16 of 17 clubs most conceded
3.1
6
Post Contact Metresneutral
50
548.9
Jonah 3.1/game
PEN concedes 548.9/game · league avg 544.6
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresunfavorable
Jonah31.4
15
PEN1576.6
25
Jonah 31.4/game
PEN concedes 1576.6/game · league avg 1687.8
#13 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Jonah0.1
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Run Metres
1576.6per game · league avg 1687.8
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Run Metres
At AAMI Park36.2(9)+2.3
Everywhere else33.9(16)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Run Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)
Dry games34.8(25)
Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs PEN · Run Metres
Avg diff
-7.3
Avg diff %
-21%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07WARSam Healey35.828-22%
08-01CBROwen Pattie30.941+33%
07-23PARHarrison Edwards31.534+8%
06-27NQLReed Mahoney28.628-2%
06-27NQLSoni Luke27.123-15%
05-31WARSam Healey35.80-100%
05-10CBRJayden Brailey30.628-9%
05-10CBROwen Pattie30.911-64%
Similar = season average within ±4.7 of Jonah's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry119.5