48.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 49.5 (20 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 47.7
−3.5 opponent leak — they concede 505.5/game vs a 544.2 league average
−11.6 at this ground — averages 37.2 there (22 gm)
vs them: averages 27.3 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▼opponent ▼venue ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 19: 81 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBY concede · Post Contact Metres
505.5per game · league avg 544.2
#14 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At Allianz Stadium37.2(22)+1.4
Everywhere else35.9(38)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)40.3(3)+4.2
Dry games36.2(57)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.
Similar players vs CBY · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
-1.4
Avg diff %
-2%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07SYDNat Butcher45.748+5%
08-07SYDBilly Smith50.970+38%
07-31MELStefano Utoikamanu53.656+5%
07-25WARMitchell Barnett56.070+25%
07-25WARErin Clark49.334-31%
07-25WARJames Fisher-Harris54.442-23%
07-18WSTJahream Bula48.152+8%
07-18WSTTerrell May55.330-46%
Similar = season average within ±7.4 of Siua's. Computed from this app's own records.