12.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 11.5 (14 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 12.8
−0.3 opponent leak — they concede 181.3/game vs a 185.9 league average
−0.2 at this ground — averages 11.8 there (5 gm)
vs them: averages 9.8 over 5 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ·opponent ▼venue ▼projection ·
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 19: 23 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
PEN concede · Runs
181.3per game · league avg 185.9
#12 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At CommBank Stadium11.8(5)-0.2
Everywhere else12.0(108)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)10.5(8)-1.7
Dry games12.2(105)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs PEN · Runs
Avg diff
-0.8
Avg diff %
-7%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07WARAlofiana Khan-Pereira11.811-7%
08-07WARAdam Pompey11.50-100%
08-07WARTanner Stowers-Smith11.511-5%
08-07WARKurt Capewell9.810+2%
08-01CBRZac Hosking11.513+13%
08-01CBRXavier Savage11.815+28%
08-01CBRSebastian Kris11.812+2%
07-23PARJack Williams12.614+12%
Similar = season average within ±1.7 of Victor's. Computed from this app's own records.
Liam Henry12.5