9.4 baseline — 0.6 × season 8.9 (16 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 10.3
−0.3 opponent leak — they concede 181.2/game vs a 186.3 league average
−0.7 at this ground — averages 8.7 there (23 gm)
vs them: averages 6.6 over 8 games — evidence, never summed
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 19: 18 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
CBY concede · Runs
181.2per game · league avg 186.3
#13 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Runs
At Allianz Stadium8.7(23)+0.8
Everywhere else7.9(96)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)6.7(7)-1.4
Dry games8.1(112)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs CBY · Runs
Avg diff
+0.7
Avg diff %
+9%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-07SYDDaly Cherry-Evans8.26-26%
08-07SYDHugo Savala9.45-47%
08-07SYDConnor Watson7.66-21%
08-07SYDCody Ramsey7.912+51%
07-31MELAlec MacDonald7.49+21%
07-31MELCooper Clarke10.012+20%
07-31MELOryn Keeley8.318+117%
07-31MELJoe Chan8.85-43%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Spencer's. Computed from this app's own records.