25.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 23.7 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 26.9
+2.5 opponent leak — they concede 598.3/game vs a 544.2 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 30.8 over 12 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ·opponent ▲projection ·
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o23.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (63%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Britonvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
68.7
40
Run Metresneutral
100
1914.7
Briton 68.7/game
SGI concedes 1914.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.1
41
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.6
Briton 1.1/game
SGI concedes 30.6/game · league avg 32.8
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
28.9
82
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Briton 28.9/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.9
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
60
Triesneutral
94
5.1
Briton 0.2/game
SGI concedes 5.1/game · league avg 4.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
49
Try Assistsneutral
69
3.9
Briton 0.1/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
52
Line Breaksneutral
75
6.0
Briton 0.2/game
SGI concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.9
84
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Briton 0.9/game
SGI concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
23.7
44
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
598.3
Briton 23.7/game
SGI concedes 598.3/game · league avg 544.2
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Briton68.7
40
SGI1914.7
100
Briton 68.7/game
SGI concedes 1914.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Briton1.1
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Post Contact Metres
598.3per game · league avg 544.2
#3 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Post Contact Metres
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium35.0(1)+6.5
Everywhere else28.5(133)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Post Contact Metres
Wet games (≥1mm)29.2(9)+0.7
Dry games28.5(125)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SGI · Post Contact Metres
Avg diff
+8.3
Avg diff %
+36%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09CROMawene Hiroti24.354+123%
08-09CROOregon Kaufusi20.835+68%
08-09CROBilly Burns26.942+56%
07-31DOLMorgan Knowles24.425+3%
07-31DOLRay Stone23.422-6%
07-26GLDArama Hau20.330+48%
07-26GLDKlese Haas26.224-8%
07-26GLDChris Randall23.824+1%
Similar = season average within ±3.6 of Briton's. Computed from this app's own records.