9.8 baseline — 0.6 × season 9.4 (15 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 10.3
+0.6 opponent leak — they concede 196.6/game vs a 185.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (1 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 11.8 over 12 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▲projection ▲
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 22: 18 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
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Splits · o9.5
Game conditionsSt George Venues Jubilee Stadium · SydneyRound 23 · 2026-08-09 16:05☁ 15.3°C☂ 0.6mm (63%)🌬 14.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Britonvs all playersStatSGI concedePer game
68.7
40
Run Metresneutral
100
1914.7
Briton 68.7/game
SGI concedes 1914.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
1.1
41
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
19
30.6
Briton 1.1/game
SGI concedes 30.6/game · league avg 32.8
#14 of 17 clubs most conceded
28.9
82
Tacklesneutral
50
345.9
Briton 28.9/game
SGI concedes 345.9/game · league avg 344.9
#9 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
60
Triesneutral
94
5.1
Briton 0.2/game
SGI concedes 5.1/game · league avg 4.2
#2 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.1
49
Try Assistsneutral
69
3.9
Briton 0.1/game
SGI concedes 3.9/game · league avg 3.5
#6 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.2
52
Line Breaksneutral
75
6.0
Briton 0.2/game
SGI concedes 6.0/game · league avg 5.1
#5 of 17 clubs most conceded
0.9
84
Offloadsunfavorable
13
8.5
Briton 0.9/game
SGI concedes 8.5/game · league avg 9.7
#15 of 17 clubs most conceded
23.7
44
Post Contact Metresneutral
88
598.3
Briton 23.7/game
SGI concedes 598.3/game · league avg 544.2
#3 of 17 clubs most conceded
Run Metresneutral
Briton68.7
40
SGI1914.7
100
Briton 68.7/game
SGI concedes 1914.7/game · league avg 1686.6
#1 of 17 clubs most conceded
Tackle Breaksunfavorable
Briton1.1
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
SGI concede · Runs
196.6per game · league avg 185.9
#1 of 17 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Runs
At St George Venues Jubilee Stadium12.0(1)+2.1
Everywhere else9.9(133)
Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Runs
Wet games (≥1mm)11.0(9)+1.2
Dry games9.8(125)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs SGI · Runs
Avg diff
+0.9
Avg diff %
+9%
Hit rate
4/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-09CROTeig Wilton10.510-5%
08-09CROCameron McInnes10.512+15%
08-09CROBilly Burns8.814+60%
08-09CROThomas Hazelton9.614+45%
07-31DOLMax Plath8.77-20%
07-31DOLThomas Flegler8.36-28%
07-31DOLKurt Donoghoe8.610+16%
07-31DOLFrancis Molo8.17-14%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Briton's. Computed from this app's own records.