18.0 baseline — 0.6 × season 18.9 (19 gm) + 0.4 × last 10 16.7
−0.3 opponent leak — they concede 339.6/game vs a 344.9 league average
at this ground: too thin to count (2 gm) — shown, adds nothing
vs them: averages 12.0 over 3 games — evidence, never summed
SignalsL10 form ▲opponent ▼projection ▼
Most signals here point under while you're on the over — worth reading the working above before you commit.
Derived, not measured — plain arithmetic over his real games, shown in full. Adjustments can overlap (a game at this ground can also be a wet one); they add simply, and this note is the admission. Round 22: 0 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away. Round 23: 0 — far outside his usual range; kept in the average, not smoothed away.
Line Over Under
Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
WST concede · Tackles
339.6per game · league avg 344.9
#12 of 17 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.
Venue split · Tackles
At CommBank Stadium16.5(2)+5.7
Everywhere else10.8(70)
Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.
Wet vs dry · Tackles
Wet games (≥1mm)10.3(4)-0.8
Dry games11.0(68)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs WST · Tackles
Avg diff
-0.1
Avg diff %
-2%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
08-02PARMitchell Moses17.013-24%
08-02PARRonald Volkman19.722+12%
08-02PARSam Tuivaiti21.535+63%
07-25CBRJayden Brailey20.16-70%
07-25CBREthan Strange20.117-15%
07-25CBREthan Sanders17.816-10%
07-25CBRJosh Papalii17.514-20%
07-18CBYJosh Curran19.429+50%
Similar = season average within ±2.8 of Daniel's. Computed from this app's own records.